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shrewd,Cheap karen millen,S. particularly opening up new sources of natural gas Add to that AB 32 if it goes forward (I assume it will in California) and overall we’re going to be reducing emissions I think and will actually achieve those targets much of it through regulatory approaches RYAN LIZZA: That is the most optimistic case I’ve heard in a while ROBERT STAVINS: Let’s make a bet ELIZABETH KOLBERT: We don’t have to pay up until 2020 DOROTHY WICKENDEN: Betsy do you want to take him onELIZABETH KOLBERT: Yeah sureRYAN LIZZA: But Rob everything it seems like coming out of Washington (and maybe I’m not thinking long-term and only looking at the short-term delays) it seems like the EPA is under constant attack The Obama Administration is divided between its economists and its environmental regulators about whether to go forward or not and it seems like they’ve been incredibly timid about using EPA’s authority ELIZABETH KOLBERT: And I’d like to offer another bet What about a bet that those regs actually go into effect in JanuaryROBERT STAVINS: I think what’s going to happen: The transport rule—that’s one of the most important ones—that’s going forward They’re slowing down on several of the others That slowing down has to do with a very simple reality and that’s the November general election That’s the slowing down and that’s a political decision so I don’t think it is economists versus environmental scientists I think it’s political advisors versus everyone else DOROTHY WICKENDEN: Betsy I want to ask you a question here since you’re writing a Comment for the magazine this week and you pretty strongly denounce Obama for his failure to do anything about climate change Given what Rob was saying about the political realities what can he do What should he doELIZABETH KOLBERT: I think that he lost his opportunity early on and you can say “Having screwed things up from Day One how can he recover now” I agree that that is difficult but he really needs to keep his eyes on the ball and on what matters Maybe I just speak for myself when I say that people had high hopes that he wasn’t just going to be just be another political hack and that is unfortunately in terms of his environmental legislation exactly what we’re seeing And I don’t really know to be honest even when you look at the politics of it I don’t know who he thinks he’s really winning over But in terms of what he could actually do he needs to start a process of in some sense of educating people It’s true that the politics are against him One reason the politics are against him is that he never made a good case DOROTHY WICKENDEN: Ryan is that too harsh Is the President a political hack RYAN LIZZA: Um…DOROTHY WICKENDEN: Come on out with itELIZABETH KOLBERT: Put it on the lineRYAN LIZZA: Look he is a politician and I do think that the signs of Obama being like any other person who’s made it to the White House--being extremely concerned with his political future--those signs were always there I never thought he was a crusader especially on global warming I never saw him give a speech or an interview where he was particularly passionate about the subject in a way that say Al Gore is And 2009 was a pretty tough year where he faced a pretty tough economy He had two big domestic agenda items: Cap-and-trade and health care Basically the coalition that cared about health care was stronger than the coalition that cared about doing something about global warming He trusted people like Rahm Emanuel and David Axelrod who were telling him “Look the votes aren’t there in the Senate Don’t spent any political capital on this issue”DOROTHY WICKENDEN: Rob any final word on the politics of all this ROBERT STAVINS: In terms of looking forward given where we are now if one wants to see serious increases in environmental protection particularly in the climate-change realm in the United States then I think at this point in time what you have to hope for is for a very significant improvement in the economy in particular an improvement in unemployment Eliminate double-digit unemployment in some crucial parts of the country including the Rust Belt states; achieve what can pass a laugh test of victory or pleasant exit from Afghanistan and/or Iraq; finish whatever the job is in Libya If all of that happens the President is reëlected and has sufficient coat tails to maintain the Senate possibly increase the Senate and if really lucky retake the House--that’s what’s going to be necessary in order to see major movements forward in 2013 and beyond I know that makes it sound like a long shot but I think that’s the reality DOROTHY WICKENDEN: Yeah a very very long shot Thank you all for joining us Ryan Lizza and Elizabeth Kolbert are staff writers Robert Stavins is the director of the Environmental Economics program at Harvard This has been the Political Scene from The New Yorker I’m Dorothy Wickenden<br> We do it because there are also benefits, To win, McCain could see he’d been dealt 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